Cliff fall! Silicone price by “cut in half”, weekend another wave of diving stimulation! Can the fall stop this week?

107 rubber market: last week, in the case of the main monomer factories bidding each other, the raw material cost support is basically lost, 107 rubber prices continue to weaken, the offer dropped sharply. As of November 5, 107 rubber market quoted 35500-36000 yuan/ton, week down 16150 yuan/ton. From the supply side, DMC disorderly bidding, 107 rubber bearing the first, 107 rubber monomer factory closely followed the PRICE adjustment of DMC, other 107 rubber manufacturers are shipping at a loss, in order to quickly consume high price inventory, let the rate of profit generally ahead of the monomer factory. As far as we know, over the weekend, the transaction price of 107 rubber in the monomer factory dropped to 30,000-33,000 yuan/ton, and some manufacturers even offered profits to core customers at 29,500 yuan/ton on the evening of 7th, which improved the shipment.

 

From the point of view of the demand side, the downstream construction glue, electronic glue market is weak, since the rise of organic silicon began to shrink, the number of new orders received by enterprises has not recovered, enterprise inventory gradually accumulated. Especially for large silicone rubber enterprises with high stock, the cost pressure is huge, the shipping speed is also obviously limited, so the inventory consumption is slow, and the resistance is obvious. November entered the traditional off-season, and manufacturers experienced a sharp drop in prices, manufacturers for inventory more cautious. This week there may be a wave of low fill positions demand, but the downstream stockpiling passion is not fully stimulated, some downstream demand is still holding a wait-and-see mood. On the whole, it is expected that 107 glue will stop falling and maintain stability this week, but it is still necessary to pay close attention to the stock situation of large silicone glue households.

 

Silicone oil market: Last week, based on the impact of the raw material DMC market offer sharp correction, the bearish sentiment in the silicone oil market is strong, the offer follows the decline, as of November 5th, the silicone oil market offer 42,000-45,000 yuan/ton, the transaction price is 40,000-42,000 yuan/ton, the weekly drop is more than 15000 yuan/ton. From the perspective of industrial chain, the silicone oil market has a smaller decline compared with other products. One of the major factors is the influence of imported silicone oil. Since zhangjiagang factory plans to carry out annual maintenance in December, the mentality of foreign brand silicone oil market is strong, and the willingness to lower prices is not strong.

 

On the demand side price swings, downstream enterprise procurement mentality is restricted, temporarily to digest inventory, most enterprises demand recovery was slow, and under the silicone oil manufacturers compete to benefit, the downstream enterprises produced a prominent, also recently took advantage of a moderate amount of the goods at a lower price, only some empty camalig manufacturer most manufacturer for the purchase of silicone oil is still weak. This week, if DMC stops falling and recovers, silicone oil orders may pick up, but large-scale stocking remains to be seen.

 

Raw rubber market: Last week, due to the early low false start of a large rubber mixing factory in East China, the price of raw rubber formed a reverse check and forced the raw rubber market offer to drop sharply. On November 4, the raw rubber price of the single factory was 36,000-38,000 yuan/ton, which dropped by 16,500 yuan/ton weekly. However, the mixed rubber market presents a serious inverted phenomenon, so that the turnover of raw rubber is still dull after the substantial profit, and the turnover of new single is not good. By the end of the week, the raw rubber generally fell to 32,000-33,000 yuan/ton. Under the stimulus of profits again, the sentiment of stock stocking of mixed rubber was driven to some extent. The transaction of new raw rubber orders turned better, and the decline may be stabilized this week.

 

Mixed rubber market: last week, the mixed rubber market fell the most, the overall loss, in order to ship, the size of the manufacturers fell over each other to lower the price, large mixed rubber manufacturers are in advance of price pressure behavior, so that the transaction price of the mixed rubber market is not the lowest but lower. Until the weekend, the raw rubber factory gave interest again to stimulate stock, and planned to stop the decline and check the rise this week. The rubber manufacturers are expected to keep the price stable in the future, and the ultra-low profit mentality begins to fade. By November 7th, the mainstream price of the rubber market is 26,000-28,000 yuan/ton. On the demand side, the profit of silicon products has recovered somewhat after the substantial profit of raw materials, but the end demand side has been destroyed. It has been less than two months this year, and it is uncertain whether the order quantity can reach the balance between supply and demand. Overall, this week, the price of raw rubber, rubber mixing mentality gradually up, silicon products right amount to fill positions, to fall mentality still exists.

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